Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.001465 0.001560 0.001659 0.001768 0.001886 0.002010 0.002150
2024-10-06 0.001325 0.001455 0.001594 0.001755 0.001935 0.002131 0.002362
2024-10-13 0.001231 0.001385 0.001554 0.001755 0.001988 0.002250 0.002568
2024-10-20 0.001135 0.001302 0.001491 0.001720 0.001992 0.002306 0.002700
2024-10-27 0.001073 0.001252 0.001458 0.001714 0.002026 0.002395 0.002869
2024-11-03 0.000991 0.001174 0.001387 0.001657 0.001991 0.002396 0.002928
2024-11-10 0.000957 0.001149 0.001378 0.001672 0.002044 0.002503 0.003121
2024-11-17 0.000912 0.001109 0.001346 0.001656 0.002055 0.002558 0.003247
2024-11-24 0.000886 0.001090 0.001339 0.001671 0.002105 0.002661 0.003439
2024-12-01 0.000843 0.001047 0.001301 0.001642 0.002095 0.002685 0.003525
2024-12-08 0.000810 0.001015 0.001274 0.001626 0.002101 0.002729 0.003639
2024-12-15 0.000780 0.000988 0.001251 0.001615 0.002111 0.002778 0.003759
2024-12-22 0.000755 0.000966 0.001237 0.001618 0.002146 0.002868 0.003954
2024-12-29 0.000724 0.000937 0.001213 0.001605 0.002159 0.002928 0.004107
2025-01-05 0.000701 0.000916 0.001198 0.001605 0.002188 0.003012 0.004300
2025-01-12 0.000668 0.000880 0.001162 0.001573 0.002170 0.003026 0.004387
2025-01-19 0.000647 0.000859 0.001146 0.001568 0.002191 0.003097 0.004563
2025-01-26 0.000611 0.000817 0.001098 0.001516 0.002139 0.003057 0.004564
2025-02-02 0.000599 0.000808 0.001096 0.001530 0.002185 0.003166 0.004807
2025-02-09 0.000579 0.000787 0.001076 0.001516 0.002188 0.003209 0.004944
2025-02-16 0.000568 0.000779 0.001074 0.001529 0.002234 0.003320 0.005197
2025-02-23 0.000546 0.000754 0.001047 0.001503 0.002216 0.003329 0.005281
2025-03-02 0.000529 0.000735 0.001029 0.001489 0.002217 0.003368 0.005416